Sankalp Daily Current Affairs - 23 November 2025 (Key Updates, Analysis & MCQs)

Sankalp Daily Current Affairs - Key Updates, Analysis & MCQs on Intimate Partner Violence, Environment Responsibility, Groundwater Pollution, Federalism, and Random Forest

 

Topic 1: Nearly 30% Women in India Subject to Intimate Partner Violence During Lifetime: WHO

News Context

According to a recent report by the World Health Organization (WHO), nearly 30% of women in India experience intimate partner violence (IPV) at some point in their lives. Intimate partner violence refers to physical, sexual, or psychological harm caused by a current or former partner. This alarming statistic highlights the pervasive nature of domestic abuse in India and underscores the urgent need for societal, legal, and policy-level interventions.

The report comes at a time when India is focusing on gender equality and women’s safety under frameworks like Beti Bachao Beti Padhao, Protection of Women from Domestic Violence Act (PWDVA) 2005, and ongoing campaigns against gender-based violence. The WHO findings not only shed light on the scale of the problem but also reveal regional disparities, socio-economic factors, and the long-term consequences of IPV on women, families, and communities.

Domestic violence is not limited to physical abuse. It encompasses emotional abuse, controlling behaviour, economic deprivation, and sexual coercion. In India, patriarchal norms, social stigma, lack of awareness, and limited access to legal redress contribute to the persistence of IPV. Recognizing the prevalence of IPV is critical for policymakers, civil society, and healthcare professionals working to protect women and promote gender equality.

Explanation

Intimate partner violence is a complex social, psychological, and economic issue that affects women across age groups, educational levels, and urban-rural settings. The WHO report categorizes IPV into the following dimensions:

  • Physical violence: Slapping, beating, kicking, choking, or any act causing physical harm.
  • Sexual violence: Forced sexual intercourse or unwanted sexual acts by a partner.
  • Emotional/psychological violence: Insults, humiliation, threats, intimidation, and controlling behaviours.
  • Economic abuse: Restricting access to money, employment, or essential resources.

WHO data reveals that nearly one in three women in India has experienced IPV, which is slightly above the global average of 27%. Physical violence is the most commonly reported form, followed by emotional abuse. Sexual violence, although often underreported, remains a significant concern.

Several studies have found that IPV is associated with poor mental health outcomes, including depression, anxiety, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). Women experiencing IPV are also at higher risk of reproductive health issues, unintended pregnancies, sexually transmitted infections, and maternal mortality.

The issue of intimate partner violence extends beyond individual suffering. It affects children, who may witness abuse, develop behavioural problems, or experience intergenerational transmission of violence. Furthermore, IPV contributes to economic losses, as abused women are more likely to miss work, reduce productivity, or withdraw from the labour force due to physical injuries or emotional stress.

Key Facts and Background

  1. Global prevalence: According to WHO, 27% of women globally experience IPV in their lifetime; India’s prevalence is slightly higher at ~30%.
  2. Regional differences in India: Northern and central states report higher IPV rates compared to southern and western states.
  3. Urban-rural divide: Rural women are more vulnerable due to limited awareness, patriarchal norms, and weaker access to justice.
  4. Socio-economic factors: Poverty, low education levels, and alcohol abuse by partners are significant risk factors.
  5. Marital status: Married women, especially those in early or forced marriages, are more susceptible to IPV.
  6. Underreporting: Social stigma, fear of retaliation, and distrust in the justice system result in underreporting of IPV.
  7. Impact on mental health: IPV increases the risk of depression, anxiety, suicidal tendencies, and PTSD.
  8. Maternal and reproductive health: IPV is linked to higher rates of unintended pregnancy, maternal morbidity, and adverse birth outcomes.
  9. Economic consequences: IPV reduces women’s participation in the workforce, affects productivity, and contributes to household poverty.
  10. Legal framework in India: The Protection of Women from Domestic Violence Act (PWDVA) 2005 provides civil remedies; sections of the IPC (e.g., 498A, 304B) cover criminal aspects.

Why This Matters

1. Public Health Concern

Intimate partner violence is a major public health issue, affecting both physical and mental well-being of women.

2. Societal Impact

IPV reinforces gender inequality, perpetuates patriarchal norms, and hinders women’s empowerment.

3. Legal and Policy Implications

High IPV prevalence highlights gaps in law enforcement, legal awareness, and support services for survivors.

4. Economic Consequences

Household productivity and national economic growth are affected due to absenteeism, healthcare costs, and reduced workforce participation.

5. Intergenerational Effects

Children exposed to IPV may develop behavioural issues, perpetuating a cycle of violence in future generations.

Analysis and Socio-Cultural Significance

Patriarchal Structures and Social Norms

  • Patriarchy in India often enforces male authority in households, normalizing control and abuse.
  • Social tolerance of domestic violence and victim-blaming culture discourages women from reporting abuse.
  • Dowry-related pressures and marital expectations further exacerbate IPV in certain communities.

Role of Education

  • Higher education levels among women reduce IPV prevalence by promoting awareness and empowerment.
  • Male partner education also plays a significant role in reducing violent behaviour.

Alcohol and Substance Abuse

  • Excessive alcohol consumption by male partners is strongly linked to IPV.
  • Community awareness programs targeting alcohol abuse can indirectly reduce IPV rates.

Legal and Institutional Gaps

  • Despite strong laws, conviction rates remain low due to delayed trials, inadequate legal aid, and societal pressure on victims.
  • Police and judicial sensitivity towards IPV needs improvement, along with fast-track courts for domestic violence cases.

Health System Response

  • Primary healthcare providers often lack training to identify IPV victims.
  • Integrating IPV screening into routine maternal and reproductive health services can improve detection.

Challenges

  1. Underreporting due to stigma: Many women fear social ostracism or retaliation.
  2. Limited access to support services: Shelters, counselling, and legal aid are inadequate in rural areas.
  3. Cultural acceptance of violence: In some communities, abuse is normalized.
  4. Weak enforcement of laws: Delays, procedural lapses, and corruption hinder justice.
  5. Economic dependence: Financial reliance on abusive partners prevents women from leaving violent situations.
  6. Lack of awareness: Many women are unaware of their rights under PWDVA 2005 or other legal protections.
  7. Mental health burden: Survivors often suffer silently from depression, anxiety, and PTSD.

Way Forward

  1. Strengthen legal enforcement: Implement fast-track courts and improve police sensitivity.
  2. Expand awareness campaigns: Educate women about rights and avenues for support.
  3. Integrate IPV screening into healthcare: Routine maternal and reproductive health checkups should include IPV assessment.
  4. Promote women’s economic independence: Skill development and financial inclusion reduce vulnerability.
  5. Community engagement: Engage local leaders, men, and youth in campaigns against domestic violence.
  6. Support services expansion: Increase availability of shelters, counselling, and helplines.
  7. Education and behavioural change programs: School and community programs promoting gender equality can prevent IPV.
  8. Research and data collection: Accurate, updated IPV statistics help policymakers design effective interventions.
  9. Collaboration with NGOs: Partner with civil society organizations to implement grassroots support initiatives.
  10. Cultural sensitization: Media and social campaigns should challenge stereotypes, victim-blaming, and normalize seeking help.

Conclusion

The WHO report revealing that nearly 30% of women in India experience intimate partner violence underscores a critical social and public health crisis. IPV is not just an individual problem; it affects families, communities, and national development. The persistence of IPV is linked to patriarchal norms, social stigma, economic dependence, and gaps in law enforcement.

Addressing intimate partner violence requires a multifaceted approach — combining legal reform, societal sensitization, economic empowerment, health system interventions, and community engagement. Strengthening support systems, raising awareness, and promoting gender equality are essential to reducing IPV and safeguarding women’s rights.

Ultimately, tackling IPV is not only a matter of justice and human rights but also a key step toward building healthier families, stronger communities, and a more equitable society in India. The WHO findings should act as a wake-up call for government agencies, civil society, healthcare professionals, and citizens to work collaboratively toward eliminating intimate partner violence once and for all.

Topic 2: Rethinking a symbol of ‘environment responsibility’

News Context

In a world grappling with climate change, environmental degradation, and biodiversity loss, the symbols and icons we associate with environmental responsibility are being critically examined. From corporate sustainability badges to governmental green initiatives, the perception of “eco-friendly” actions does not always align with actual environmental impact. Recent debates have focused on whether certain symbols—trees planted for branding, eco-certifications, or flagship conservation campaigns—truly advance environmental goals or simply serve as greenwashing tools.

This rethinking is vital, particularly for India, where rapid urbanisation, industrialisation, and climate pressures intersect with environmental awareness campaigns. Understanding the substance behind symbolic environmental actions is crucial for ensuring that policies, individual behaviour, and corporate practices contribute meaningfully to sustainability.

Explanation

A symbol of environmental responsibility is more than a visual marker—it is a commitment to measurable ecological outcomes. However, a growing body of research indicates that many widely celebrated symbols do not guarantee environmental benefits. For instance, mass plantation drives often ignore species selection, soil suitability, or long-term care, leading to high mortality rates and minimal carbon sequestration. Similarly, eco-certifications sometimes focus on marketing compliance rather than actual resource efficiency or conservation.

By rethinking these symbols, policymakers, corporations, and citizens can shift from performative to impactful environmental action. The focus must move from “visible gestures” to scientifically measurable outcomes—such as soil health improvement, water conservation, biodiversity preservation, and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.

Key Facts and Scientific Background

  1. Global environmental pledges often rely on symbols and metrics that are easy to communicate but difficult to verify.
  2. Tree-planting campaigns can have a survival rate as low as 30–40% when species are not matched to local ecosystems.
  3. Eco-labels for products sometimes overlook full life-cycle environmental costs.
  4. Urban green spaces are sometimes counted in square meters without evaluating ecological connectivity or native biodiversity.
  5. Corporate carbon neutrality claims may include purchased offsets rather than verified emission reductions.
  6. India’s National Green Corps (NGC) has trained over 7 lakh students in environmental awareness, but translating this into measurable ecological change remains a challenge.
  7. Ecosystem restoration requires long-term monitoring, often beyond the short timelines of symbolic initiatives.
  8. Greenwashing—the act of appearing environmentally responsible without tangible outcomes—can mislead the public and investors.

Why Rethinking Symbols Matters

Promotes Genuine Environmental Impact

By moving beyond superficial gestures, initiatives can tangibly improve carbon capture, biodiversity, and soil health.

Improves Policy Effectiveness

Understanding what truly works helps policymakers allocate funds and resources to measurable conservation efforts rather than performative campaigns.

Enhances Public Trust

When environmental symbols are backed by real results, citizens are more likely to participate in sustainable practices, creating positive feedback loops.

Reduces Greenwashing

Clarifying what counts as legitimate environmental action discourages corporations from relying solely on branding efforts.

Case Studies and Examples

  1. Corporate Tree-Planting Drives: A study showed that multinational tree-planting programs in India had a survival rate of only 35% after two years, highlighting the gap between symbolic action and ecological impact.
  2. Plastic Recycling Logos: Products displaying recycling symbols are often not fully recyclable in local waste management systems, leading to false perceptions of sustainability.
  3. Flagship National Parks: Iconic parks promoted as conservation symbols sometimes exclude local community engagement, limiting long-term ecological gains.
  4. Urban Green Certifications: Cities recognized for “green initiatives” may have low native biodiversity despite high green cover metrics.

Scientific and Ecological Perspective

  • Carbon Sequestration: Planting trees is symbolic unless species, density, and site conditions align for effective CO₂ absorption.
  • Biodiversity Conservation: Symbols must support native flora and fauna, not monoculture plantations.
  • Water Cycle Regulation: Green spaces should improve groundwater recharge and reduce urban flooding.
  • Soil Health: Vegetation must contribute to nutrient cycling and prevent erosion.

Scientific monitoring tools, including remote sensing, GIS mapping, and ecological surveys, are essential to verify the impact behind environmental symbols.

Socio-Economic and Policy Dimensions

Community Engagement

True environmental responsibility requires participatory approaches with local communities, ensuring long-term stewardship.

Corporate Responsibility

Companies adopting eco-symbols must implement transparent environmental reporting and auditable outcomes.

Government Initiatives

Policies like the Compensatory Afforestation Fund Act (2016) and National Biodiversity Action Plan aim to move beyond symbolic action, but implementation gaps persist.

Educational Integration

Environmental education programs need to couple awareness campaigns with measurable projects, such as community-led watershed restoration.

Challenges and Risks

  1. Superficial Metrics: Counting trees planted or green buildings certified does not always indicate genuine environmental benefit.
  2. Short-term Funding: Many symbolic initiatives are underfunded after initial implementation.
  3. Urbanisation Pressure: Expanding cities often prioritize aesthetics over ecological function in green initiatives.
  4. Public Misperception: Citizens may equate symbols with effectiveness, reducing critical engagement.
  5. Policy Misalignment: Lack of integration between national programs, urban planning, and corporate initiatives.
  6. Climate Change Pressures: Extreme weather can negate symbolic initiatives if ecological principles are ignored.

Way Forward

  1. Scientific Validation: Every environmental initiative should be backed by measurable ecological outcomes.
  2. Community Involvement: Encourage local stewardship to maintain planted trees, green spaces, and conservation projects.
  3. Transparent Reporting: Corporates and governments must publicly share data on survival rates, biodiversity improvement, and carbon sequestration.
  4. Policy Alignment: Integrate symbolic actions into broader environmental strategies like climate adaptation and biodiversity protection.
  5. Education and Awareness: Foster a culture where citizens understand what genuine environmental impact looks like.
  6. Long-term Monitoring: Ensure projects are tracked over decades, not just initial years.
  7. Incentivise Genuine Efforts: Offer rewards or recognition for measurable environmental performance, not just symbolic action.

Conclusion

Rethinking symbols of environmental responsibility is not about undermining awareness campaigns or discouraging green initiatives—it is about aligning symbolism with substance. While icons, certifications, and tree-planting drives are valuable for visibility and motivation, the real goal is measurable ecological improvement.

In India and globally, the challenge lies in shifting from performative gestures to actions that truly improve biodiversity, carbon sequestration, soil health, and community engagement. Governments, corporations, and citizens must adopt a data-driven, scientifically validated, and participatory approach to sustainability.

By doing so, environmental symbols can regain credibility, foster genuine ecological outcomes, and inspire lasting climate responsibility across society. The future of environmental stewardship depends on a balance between awareness and tangible impact, where every symbolic act contributes meaningfully to the planet’s health.

Topic 3: Hidden cost of polluted groundwater

News Context

Groundwater, once considered a reliable source of clean drinking water and irrigation, is increasingly under threat due to widespread pollution. In India, nearly 60% of drinking water and 70% of irrigation needs rely on groundwater, making it crucial for public health and agriculture. Recent studies indicate that over 50% of India’s groundwater is contaminated with pollutants such as nitrates, arsenic, fluoride, heavy metals, and industrial chemicals.

The hidden costs of polluted groundwater extend beyond immediate health risks, impacting economic productivity, agricultural yields, and social well-being. These costs are often underestimated or ignored, leading to a silent crisis that threatens sustainable development. As India grapples with rapid urbanisation, industrialisation, and intensive agriculture, the invisible burden of groundwater pollution is emerging as a pressing policy and environmental concern.

Explanation

Groundwater pollution occurs when contaminants infiltrate aquifers and underground water reserves. Sources of contamination include:

  • Agricultural runoff containing fertilizers, pesticides, and herbicides.
  • Industrial effluents discharged into soil and water bodies.
  • Untreated sewage from urban settlements seeping into groundwater.
  • Excessive extraction, which lowers the water table and concentrates pollutants.
  • Natural geological processes, such as arsenic or fluoride leaching in certain regions.

The “hidden cost” of this pollution is multi-dimensional:

  1. Health impacts: Contaminated groundwater leads to chronic diseases, cancers, reproductive issues, and neurological disorders.
  2. Agricultural impacts: Irrigation with polluted water reduces crop quality and can accumulate toxins in food.
  3. Economic costs: Health care expenses, loss of productivity, and reduced agricultural output contribute to significant economic losses.
  4. Social costs: Rural communities are forced to buy safe water or migrate, causing social stress.

Groundwater contamination is often slow and invisible, making its risks less obvious than surface water pollution. This invisibility contributes to delayed policy response and inadequate mitigation measures.

Key Facts and Scientific Background

  • Arsenic contamination: Present in parts of West Bengal, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Assam, affecting over 10 million people. Chronic exposure causes skin lesions, cancer, and cardiovascular issues.
  • Fluoride contamination: High levels in Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, and Gujarat lead to dental and skeletal fluorosis.
  • Nitrate pollution: Excessive nitrogen from fertilizers causes methemoglobinemia (“blue baby syndrome”) in infants.
  • Industrial chemicals: Heavy metals such as lead, cadmium, chromium, and mercury enter groundwater through mining, tanneries, and chemical plants.
  • Health burden: The World Bank estimates that poor water quality in India contributes to over 200,000 deaths annually.
  • Economic loss: The hidden cost of contaminated water in India is estimated at 0.5–1% of GDP, due to healthcare costs and reduced labor productivity.
  • Overextraction: Nearly 60% of groundwater wells in India are overexploited, exacerbating contamination concentration.
  • Urban impact: Cities like Delhi, Bangalore, and Chennai have high levels of fluoride, nitrates, and coliform bacteria in groundwater.

Understanding these scientific facts highlights the urgency of addressing groundwater pollution systematically.

Why It Matters

1. Public health crisis

Contaminated groundwater is directly linked to chronic illnesses, birth defects, and reduced life expectancy. Rural populations relying on tube wells are particularly vulnerable.

2. Agricultural sustainability

Irrigation with polluted water can lead to soil degradation, bioaccumulation of toxins in crops, and reduced yields, threatening food security.

3. Economic burden

Healthcare costs, lost workdays, and lower agricultural productivity impose hidden financial costs on households and national economies.

4. Environmental impact

Polluted groundwater disrupts aquatic ecosystems and reduces biodiversity in rivers, lakes, and wetlands connected to aquifers.

5. Social equity

Poor communities often lack access to safe water, forcing them to spend disproportionately on water purification or bottled water, worsening socio-economic disparities.

Implications

For public policy

  • Governments must prioritise groundwater monitoring and quality assessment.
  • Policies should integrate health, agriculture, and environmental sectors to address pollution holistically.

For agriculture

  • Farmers need training on balanced fertilizer use, integrated pest management, and safe irrigation practices.
  • Incentivising organic and water-efficient farming can reduce pollution load.

For industries

  • Strict effluent treatment standards must be enforced.
  • Industries discharging into groundwater zones should be regularly audited and held accountable.

For communities

  • Promoting community-based water management helps identify pollution hotspots.
  • Affordable household water treatment technologies must be made widely available.

Challenges

  1. Monitoring gaps: India has limited groundwater quality data; many regions lack continuous monitoring.
  2. Unregulated industrial discharge: Enforcement of effluent treatment norms remains weak.
  3. Diffuse agricultural sources: Non-point source pollution from farms is hard to track and manage.
  4. Public awareness: Communities often underestimate the dangers of contaminated water.
  5. Economic constraints: Many local governments lack funds for large-scale water purification projects.
  6. Rapid urbanisation: Expansion of settlements increases groundwater demand and contamination risk.
  7. Climate change: Reduced rainfall and rising temperatures exacerbate pollution concentration and water scarcity.

Way Forward

  1. Comprehensive monitoring network: Deploy real-time groundwater sensors and GIS mapping to identify contamination zones.
  2. Strict enforcement: Strengthen pollution control boards and penalise violators effectively.
  3. Safe agricultural practices: Promote organic fertilizers, crop rotation, and precision farming.
  4. Public awareness campaigns: Educate communities on health risks and safe water practices.
  5. Decentralised water treatment: Encourage household-level filters, community reverse osmosis plants, and solar-based water purification.
  6. Inter-sectoral approach: Integrate health, agriculture, environment, and urban planning departments for coordinated action.
  7. Research and innovation: Invest in affordable water remediation technologies and pollution-resistant crop varieties.
  8. Policy incentives: Provide subsidies for industries adopting zero-liquid discharge and for farmers practising sustainable irrigation.
  9. Groundwater recharge: Implement rainwater harvesting, recharge wells, and watershed management to improve water quality and quantity.
  10. Climate resilience: Design policies that consider extreme weather events, droughts, and rising temperatures affecting water quality.

Conclusion

Polluted groundwater represents a hidden but escalating crisis in India. Its impacts extend beyond water contamination, affecting public health, agriculture, economy, and social equity. While groundwater is critical for drinking, irrigation, and industry, its quality is deteriorating due to agricultural runoff, industrial effluents, urban sewage, and overextraction.

Addressing this crisis requires a multi-pronged approach, combining policy reform, scientific monitoring, community engagement, sustainable agriculture, and industrial accountability. The hidden costs of inaction — from chronic diseases to economic losses — far outweigh the investments required for remediation.

Recognising the interconnectedness of water, health, and development, India can protect its groundwater resources, ensure safe drinking water, enhance food security, and secure long-term economic and social well-being. The time for urgent action is now, as the future of millions depends on clean and safe groundwater.

Topic 4: Is federalism in retreat under single-party hegemony?

News Context

India’s federal structure has historically been a cornerstone of its democracy, balancing power between the Union and states. Recent political trends, however, have raised concerns about the robustness of federalism under conditions of single-party dominance at the national level. Analysts and policymakers have debated whether a strong central government led by one party over successive terms might gradually erode the autonomy of states, weaken cooperative federalism, and alter the constitutional balance envisaged by the framers of the Indian Constitution.

This debate has gained urgency in the context of policymaking, financial allocations, administrative interventions, and legislative influence, particularly when a single party holds a commanding presence both in the Union government and across multiple state governments. Observers are examining whether federal principles are being adapted, compromised, or strengthened in practice.

Explanation

Federalism in India is structured through constitutional provisions, which divide powers between the Centre and states across three lists—Union, State, and Concurrent—and allow flexibility for co-operative mechanisms. However, the dynamics of federalism are influenced not just by law but by political practice, party strength, and institutional behavior.

Single-party hegemony occurs when one political party dominates national politics for multiple terms, controls the legislature decisively, and has significant presence in state governments. While this can enable policy consistency and streamlined governance, it may also risk centralizing authority, undermining dissenting voices, and reducing the leverage of state governments in decision-making.

Key concerns about federalism under single-party dominance include:

  • Financial dependence: States rely heavily on central transfers, which may be strategically used to encourage political alignment.
  • Legislative influence: A dominant party can influence constitutional amendments, procedural changes, or laws affecting state autonomy.
  • Administrative centralisation: Central agencies may acquire increased oversight over state administration.
  • Judicial interpretation: Courts are often asked to adjudicate federal disputes, but repeated central influence can shape legal interpretations over time.

Key Facts and Constitutional Background

  1. India is a quasi-federal state: Constitution provides for federalism with strong unitary features in emergencies.
  2. Division of Powers: Article 246 outlines the Union List, State List, and Concurrent List.
  3. Financial federalism: Article 280 mandates the Finance Commission to recommend sharing of revenues between Union and states.
  4. Emergency provisions: Articles 352, 356, and 360 allow the Centre to override state autonomy in exceptional circumstances.
  5. Cooperative federalism: Article 263 allows the formation of inter-state councils for collaborative policymaking.
  6. Recent legislative trends: Central laws such as the Goods and Services Tax (GST) Act show both cooperative and centralised approaches.
  7. State autonomy: States have jurisdiction over police, public order, health, and local governance, but many rely on central funding.
  8. Single-party dominance history: The Indian National Congress (INC) dominated post-independence politics; more recently, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has significant control at Centre and several states.
  9. Political implications: Dominant parties can streamline national initiatives but may risk marginalizing dissenting state voices.
  10. Judicial interventions: Supreme Court rulings in cases like S.R. Bommai vs Union of India (1994) protect state governments from arbitrary dismissal, reinforcing federal checks.

Why This Matters

1. Preservation of democracy

Federalism ensures decentralised decision-making, accountability, and representation. Weakening federalism can lead to concentration of power and limited checks and balances.

2. Policy efficiency vs autonomy

Single-party dominance allows faster national policy implementation, but may reduce state-level contextual adaptation, especially in diverse regions.

3. Political stability

Hegemony may create stability, but can also suppress opposition voices, risking political polarization and regional discontent.

4. Fiscal equity

States’ dependence on central transfers may compromise fiscal autonomy, making policy conditional on political alignment rather than developmental need.

5. Constitutional resilience

Monitoring federalism under dominance tests the flexibility and robustness of constitutional provisions designed to balance centre-state relations.

Geopolitical and Socio-Economic Depth

1. Regional diversity

India’s 28 states and 8 union territories exhibit vast differences in culture, language, economy, and politics. Federalism is essential to protect minority interests and accommodate regional diversity.

2. Economic policy

Centralised policy under dominant parties may streamline national initiatives like Make in India or Digital India, but states may struggle to implement them effectively if local conditions are overlooked.

3. Social policy

Policies on education, health, and welfare require local adaptation. Excessive centralisation can create implementation gaps, especially in rural or tribal areas.

4. Electoral politics

Single-party dominance can influence state elections, through campaign support, funding, and policy incentives, potentially undermining independent state governance.

5. International perception

Strong central control can project political stability and policy coherence internationally, but may also raise concerns over regional autonomy and democratic vibrancy among foreign observers.

Challenges and Risks

  1. Erosion of state autonomy: States may feel constrained in setting local priorities.
  2. Fiscal dependence: Reliance on central grants reduces decision-making flexibility.
  3. Political polarization: Regional parties may feel marginalized, affecting coalition politics.
  4. Policy uniformity risk: One-size-fits-all policies may not suit regional needs.
  5. Judicial workload: More centre-state disputes lead to increased litigation.
  6. Civil society disengagement: Central dominance may weaken local citizen participation.
  7. Emergency misuse risk: Frequent invocation of Article 356 could undermine federal spirit.
  8. Media influence: National-level dominance can shape public narrative, impacting state perspectives.
  9. Legislative centralisation: Concurrent List expansions may reduce state law-making space.
  10. Long-term cultural implications: Excessive centralisation may weaken linguistic, cultural, and social autonomy.

Way Forward

  1. Strengthen cooperative federalism: Encourage inter-state councils and joint policy forums.
  2. Fiscal decentralisation: Reduce dependence on central grants and increase state-generated revenues.
  3. Judicial safeguards: Uphold Supreme Court rulings that protect state rights.
  4. Political dialogue: Encourage constructive engagement between central and state governments.
  5. Regional autonomy in policy: Allow state-specific adaptation of national schemes.
  6. Transparency in funding: Ensure equitable and need-based allocation of central resources.
  7. Civil society involvement: Engage local communities in governance to maintain democratic accountability.
  8. Electoral fairness: Maintain independent electoral oversight to prevent undue influence by dominant parties.
  9. Legislative review: Periodically assess laws impacting centre-state balance for federal compatibility.
  10. Academic and policy research: Encourage studies on federalism dynamics under long-term single-party rule.

Conclusion

The question of whether federalism is in retreat under single-party hegemony is nuanced. While strong central governance can streamline policy implementation, provide national stability, and project India as a decisive global player, it also carries risks of weakening state autonomy, limiting regional voices, and concentrating power.

India’s federalism has endured through historical and political challenges, balancing diverse regional interests with national priorities. The health of the Indian federation depends on continuous dialogue, institutional safeguards, fiscal equity, and respect for constitutional autonomy.

Ultimately, single-party dominance should not equate to central domination. A resilient federation requires both political stability and pluralistic engagement, ensuring that India’s democratic, social, and economic diversity is preserved while enabling coherent national governance.

Topic 5: What is a ‘random forest’?

News Context

The term ‘Random Forest’ has gained prominence in discussions around artificial intelligence (AI), data analytics, and predictive modelling. With businesses, governments, and research institutions increasingly relying on machine learning (ML) techniques to make data-driven decisions, understanding this algorithm is crucial.

Random Forest is a supervised learning algorithm widely used for both classification and regression tasks. Its relevance is evident in sectors ranging from healthcare, finance, agriculture, to climate modelling, where decision-making depends on complex patterns hidden in large datasets.

In India, adoption of Random Forest and other machine learning models is accelerating, with applications in predicting crop yields, monitoring air quality, improving urban planning, detecting fraud in banking, and enhancing public health interventions. This makes it a critical concept not only for technology professionals but also for policy analysts and decision-makers.

Explanation

A Random Forest is essentially a collection of decision trees that work together to improve predictive accuracy. While a single decision tree can be prone to overfitting or making inaccurate predictions on new data, a forest of multiple trees can reduce errors and improve reliability.

The term “random” refers to two aspects:

  1. Random selection of data: Each tree in the forest is trained on a different subset of the data obtained through bootstrapping (random sampling with replacement).
  2. Random selection of features: At each split in a tree, a random subset of variables is considered for partitioning the data.

This randomness ensures that individual trees are diverse, and their collective output—often through majority voting (for classification) or averaging (for regression)—is more robust.

In simpler terms, a Random Forest is like a committee of experts, where each expert gives their opinion, and the group collectively makes a more accurate decision than any single member.

Key Facts and Scientific Background

  1. Developed by Leo Breiman and Adele Cutler in the early 2000s, Random Forest has become a standard ML technique.
  2. It belongs to ensemble learning methods, where multiple models are combined to solve a problem.
  3. Decision trees are the building blocks; each tree partitions data into subsets based on feature values.
  4. Random Forest reduces overfitting, a common problem in single decision trees.
  5. The algorithm can handle both categorical and numerical data effectively.
  6. It is highly resistant to noise, making it suitable for real-world datasets with inconsistencies.
  7. Random Forest can also estimate feature importance, helping analysts identify which variables contribute most to predictions.
  8. The model can be applied to classification (yes/no, categories) and regression (continuous outcomes) tasks.
  9. Widely used in finance for credit scoring, healthcare for disease prediction, and agriculture for yield estimation.
  10. Random Forest can scale to large datasets but may require significant computational resources for very big forests.

Why This Matters

1. Enhanced predictive accuracy

Unlike a single tree, Random Forest averages predictions, reducing bias and variance.

2. Robustness against overfitting

By using random subsets of data and features, the algorithm avoids tailoring too closely to training data.

3. Interpretability

Feature importance scores allow understanding which variables drive predictions, crucial for policy and business decisions.

4. Flexibility

Random Forest works well with heterogeneous data types and is applicable across domains from healthcare, climate science, finance, to urban planning.

5. Decision support

Governments and businesses can make data-driven decisions with higher confidence using Random Forest outputs.

Scientific Mechanism (Step-by-Step)

  1. Data Sampling (Bootstrap)

    • Randomly sample the original dataset to create multiple training subsets.
    • Each subset trains one decision tree independently.
  2. Tree Construction

    • For each node, select a random subset of features.
    • Split the data based on the feature that best separates the classes (Gini index or entropy for classification).
  3. Tree Growth

    • Repeat splitting until a stopping criterion (max depth, minimum samples) is reached.
    • Do not prune trees aggressively; the ensemble compensates for overfitting.
  4. Prediction Aggregation

    • Classification: Each tree votes for a class; the majority class is chosen.
    • Regression: Predictions from all trees are averaged to produce the final outcome.
  5. Feature Importance Evaluation

    • Measure how much each feature contributes to reducing prediction error.
    • Helps in interpreting models and selecting influential variables.

Applications in Real Life

1. Healthcare

  • Predicting disease risk (e.g., diabetes, cancer, cardiovascular conditions).
  • Analyzing patient outcomes based on demographics and clinical variables.
  • Prioritizing patients for preventive interventions.

2. Agriculture

  • Predicting crop yield based on soil, weather, and irrigation data.
  • Early warning for pests or diseases using historical patterns.
  • Optimizing fertilizer and irrigation strategies.

3. Finance

  • Credit scoring and loan approval.
  • Detecting fraudulent transactions.
  • Portfolio risk management using historical market data.

4. Environment and Climate

  • Predicting air pollution levels using multiple indicators.
  • Estimating climate change impact on regional agriculture or biodiversity.
  • Modelling water quality and pollution patterns.

5. Urban Planning and Governance

  • Optimizing traffic flow predictions.
  • Predicting urban resource demand (water, electricity).
  • Supporting e-governance and citizen services through predictive analytics.

Advantages

  1. High accuracy compared to single decision trees.
  2. Handles high-dimensional datasets efficiently.
  3. Provides feature importance, aiding interpretability.
  4. Robust to outliers and missing data.
  5. Can process large-scale data with parallel computation.
  6. Reduces overfitting, improving generalisation.
  7. Applicable to both regression and classification tasks.
  8. Adaptable to imbalanced datasets using class weighting.
  9. Can integrate with other ensemble methods like boosting.
  10. Widely supported in Python, R, and other ML platforms.

Challenges and Limitations

  1. Computationally intensive for large forests and big datasets.
  2. Limited interpretability compared to simpler models; outputs are “black-box” like.
  3. Memory intensive due to multiple trees.
  4. May perform poorly on sparse datasets with many irrelevant features.
  5. Sensitive to noisy data if trees are excessively deep.
  6. Hyperparameter tuning (number of trees, max depth) is essential for optimal performance.
  7. Not ideal for real-time prediction in extremely low-latency environments.
  8. Large forests can overwhelm storage and computational resources.
  9. May require dimensionality reduction for extremely high-dimensional problems.
  10. Interpretation of interactions between features can be complex.

Future Directions

  1. Integration with deep learning: Combining Random Forests with neural networks for hybrid models.
  2. Scalable implementation: Optimized versions for distributed computing frameworks like Apache Spark.
  3. Automated feature selection: Reducing manual preprocessing effort.
  4. Explainable AI: Developing tools to interpret Random Forest decisions clearly.
  5. Environmental and societal modelling: Using Random Forests for climate, biodiversity, and disaster prediction.
  6. Healthcare innovation: Personalized treatment planning based on predictive analytics.
  7. Agricultural optimization: Integrating with IoT sensors for precision farming.
  8. Fraud detection: Enhanced real-time financial monitoring.
  9. Urban smart planning: Predictive modelling for transport, utilities, and emergency services.
  10. Government analytics: Evidence-based policymaking using Random Forest predictions.

Conclusion

A Random Forest is a powerful, versatile machine learning algorithm that leverages ensemble learning to improve prediction accuracy and robustness. By combining multiple decision trees with random sampling of data and features, it minimizes errors and overfitting while providing insights into feature importance.

Its applications span healthcare, finance, agriculture, environment, and urban planning, making it an essential tool in the era of big data and AI-driven governance. While it faces computational and interpretability challenges, innovations in explainable AI, scalable implementations, and hybrid approaches promise to make Random Forest even more valuable.

Understanding Random Forest equips analysts, policymakers, and businesses to make data-driven decisions, optimize resource allocation, and anticipate outcomes in complex real-world scenarios. As India and the world embrace predictive analytics, mastery of Random Forest will remain a crucial skill for efficient decision-making and strategic planning.

Summary 

Nearly 30% women in India subject to intimate partner violence during lifetime: WHO

According to WHO, nearly 30% of Indian women experience intimate partner violence (IPV) in their lifetime, reflecting a persistent gender-based public health challenge. IPV includes physical, sexual, and psychological abuse, with severe consequences for women’s health, including injuries, depression, and reproductive complications. Studies indicate that social norms, patriarchy, and economic dependency contribute to high prevalence, while underreporting remains a challenge. Government initiatives like the Protection of Women from Domestic Violence Act (2005) aim to protect victims, but enforcement gaps persist. Awareness campaigns, community-level interventions, and counseling programs are crucial to reduce IPV. Data-driven approaches using surveys such as NFHS-5 help policymakers identify high-risk regions and improve interventions.

Rethinking a symbol of ‘environment responsibility’

The topic explores how traditional environmental symbols, like green labels or eco-certifications, may not always reflect true sustainability. Studies reveal that misleading claims and lack of accountability can reduce the effectiveness of environmental initiatives. Experts advocate for evidence-based approaches such as life-cycle assessment, carbon footprint measurement, and strict monitoring. Corporates, governments, and citizens must prioritize genuine climate action over symbolic gestures. Programs like ISO 14001 certification and LEED buildings have proven effective when transparency is ensured. Public awareness and scientific verification are essential to align environmental responsibility with real outcomes.

Hidden cost of polluted groundwater

Polluted groundwater in India leads to public health crises, agricultural losses, and economic burdens. Contamination from industrial effluents, pesticides, and sewage causes chronic diseases and reduces crop yields. Studies indicate that over 70% of India’s groundwater is unsafe for drinking, particularly in states like Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, and Haryana. Beyond health, treatment costs and productivity loss have long-term socio-economic impacts. Solutions include regulating pollutants, adopting bio-remediation, and improving monitoring, combined with community awareness campaigns to ensure safe water usage.

Is federalism in retreat under single-party hegemony?

Recent political trends raise questions about the strength of federalism in India. Centralization under a dominant party can affect state autonomy, resource allocation, and policy diversity. While the Constitution provides mechanisms for decentralization, practices such as central funding control, legislations overriding state policies, and uniform schemes indicate a tilt toward central authority. Experts argue that healthy federalism requires balance between national priorities and state-level governance. Judicial interventions and parliamentary debates remain crucial to safeguard constitutional checks and maintain cooperative governance.

What is a ‘random forest’?

Random Forest is a machine learning algorithm that combines multiple decision trees for accurate predictions. It is widely used in healthcare, agriculture, finance, climate modelling, and urban planning. Each tree in the forest is trained on a random subset of data and features, reducing overfitting and increasing robustness. Applications include disease prediction, crop yield estimation, fraud detection, and pollution forecasting. The algorithm also provides feature importance, helping policymakers and analysts understand key variables influencing outcomes. Despite computational demands, Random Forest remains a cornerstone in predictive analytics and data-driven decision-making, bridging technology with real-world problem-solving.

Practice MCQs

Nearly 30% women in India subject to intimate partner violence during lifetime: WHO

Q1: Which of the following factors contribute to the high prevalence of intimate partner violence (IPV) in India?

  1. Patriarchal social norms
  2. Economic dependency of women
  3. Low literacy rates among men
  4. Strong enforcement of the Protection of Women from Domestic Violence Act (2005)

Options:
A) 1, 2, and 3 only
B) 1 and 2 only
C) 2 and 4 only
D) All of the above

Answer: B) 1 and 2 only
Explanation: Patriarchal norms and economic dependency are key contributors to IPV. Low literacy among men may have indirect effects but is not a primary factor, and strong enforcement of the law would reduce IPV, not increase it.

Q2: Consider the following statements regarding the impact of intimate partner violence:

  1. It can cause depression and reproductive health complications.
  2. It only affects women in rural areas.
  3. Data from NFHS-5 has helped identify high-risk regions.

Which of the statements are correct?

A) 1 and 3 only
B) 1 and 2 only
C) 2 and 3 only
D) All of the above

Answer: A) 1 and 3 only
Explanation: IPV affects women across urban and rural areas; NFHS-5 and other surveys provide crucial data for policymaking.

Rethinking a symbol of ‘environment responsibility’

Q3: Which of the following measures help ensure genuine environmental responsibility?

  1. Life-cycle assessment of products
  2. Green certifications with independent verification
  3. Eco-labeling without auditing
  4. Public awareness campaigns

Options:
A) 1, 2, and 4 only
B) 1 and 3 only
C) 2 and 3 only
D) All of the above

Answer: A) 1, 2, and 4 only
Explanation: Genuine environmental responsibility requires measurable assessments, verified certifications, and informed public participation. Unverified eco-labeling may be misleading.

Q4: Which of the following statements about ISO 14001 certification is correct?
A) It guarantees zero carbon emissions for certified companies
B) It ensures effective environmental management systems are implemented
C) It is a mandatory requirement for all Indian industries
D) It replaces national environmental laws

Answer: B) It ensures effective environmental management systems are implemented
Explanation: ISO 14001 focuses on environmental management processes but does not guarantee zero emissions or override national laws.

Hidden cost of polluted groundwater

Q5: Consider the following consequences of polluted groundwater in India:

  1. Chronic diseases in humans
  2. Reduced crop yields and soil fertility
  3. Decline in industrial productivity
  4. Increased rainfall patterns

Which are correct?

A) 1, 2, and 3 only
B) 1 and 4 only
C) 2 and 4 only
D) All of the above

Answer: A) 1, 2, and 3 only
Explanation: Polluted groundwater impacts health, agriculture, and industries, but it does not directly increase rainfall.

Q6: What measures can effectively mitigate groundwater pollution?

  1. Regulating industrial effluents
  2. Bio-remediation and sewage treatment
  3. Community awareness campaigns
  4. Increasing chemical fertilizer usage

A) 1, 2, and 3 only
B) 2 and 4 only
C) 1 and 4 only
D) All of the above

Answer: A) 1, 2, and 3 only
Explanation: Chemical fertilizers often worsen groundwater contamination; the first three measures are effective.

Is federalism in retreat under single-party hegemony?

Q7: Which of the following indicate a tilt toward centralization under single-party dominance?

  1. Central control of funding
  2. Uniform nationwide schemes
  3. Enhanced judicial independence
  4. Overriding state legislations

Options:
A) 1, 2, and 4 only
B) 1 and 3 only
C) 2 and 3 only
D) All of the above

Answer: A) 1, 2, and 4 only
Explanation: Judicial independence is a safeguard for federalism, not an indicator of centralization.

Q8: Healthy federalism requires:

  1. Balance between national priorities and state autonomy
  2. Centralization of all policy decisions
  3. Judicial and parliamentary checks on central powers

A) 1 and 3 only
B) 1 and 2 only
C) 2 and 3 only
D) All of the above

Answer: A) 1 and 3 only
Explanation: Balance and checks maintain cooperative governance; centralization of all policies weakens federalism.

What is a ‘random forest’?

Q9: Consider the following statements about Random Forest algorithm:

  1. It combines multiple decision trees for predictions
  2. Each tree is trained on a random subset of data and features
  3. It is immune to overfitting in all cases
  4. It can provide feature importance for variable analysis

Which are correct?

A) 1, 2, and 4 only
B) 1 and 3 only
C) 2 and 3 only
D) All of the above

Answer: A) 1, 2, and 4 only
Explanation: Random Forest reduces overfitting but is not completely immune; it excels in feature importance and robust predictions.

Q10: In which of the following fields can Random Forest be effectively applied?

  1. Disease prediction in healthcare
  2. Crop yield estimation in agriculture
  3. Climate modelling and pollution forecasting
  4. Legal interpretation of constitutional provisions

A) 1, 2, and 3 only
B) 1 and 4 only
C) 2 and 4 only
D) All of these

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